Five Forces Driving the Decline in Team Effectiveness, and What Leaders Can Do About Them
June 29, 2026

Teams are where work gets done. They are the mechanism through which strategies are executed, problems are solved, and value is created. When they function at a high level, research shows that teams make better decisions, take on more complex work, and adapt to changing conditions in ways that individuals simply can’t. Unfortunately, most teams never reach that level. Instead, most teams’ performance consistently falls short of their potential. And, our data shows that gap is widening.

Analysis of 271 Teams Shows that Team Effectiveness is in Decline

We analyzed AIIR® Team Effectiveness Survey data from 271 teams (comprising 2,533 respondents), including thematic analysis of 7,599 open-ended responses in which team members described their culture, productivity, and what they need to reach their full potential as a team, and gathered field observations from our bench of experienced team coaches. Those interested can download the whitepaper to access the full analysis.

Overall team effectiveness across our sample of 271 teams declined 5.9% year over year. While that decline may seem small, in this size of a sample, it is substantial. Team Culture — the interpersonal side of teaming — decreased 5.96%. Team Productivity — the operational side — decreased 4.70%. Both are moving in the wrong direction, but the steeper decline in culture is notable. It suggests that how it feels to be on a team is deteriorating faster than how effectively the team gets work done.

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Five Forces Driving the Decline in Team Effectiveness

Our analysis identified five interconnected challenges driving this decline. They showed up consistently across industries, organizational levels, and all three streams of our research — and each one carries implications for what leaders should be doing right now.

Force What It Looks Like
1.  The Clarity Crisis Teams don’t share a clear understanding of vision, priorities, and roles, so effort goes to the wrong things. Click here to jump to The Clarity Crisis.
2.  Fraying Bandwidth Reactive demands consume the capacity teams need for higher-order, long-term work. Click here to jump to Fraying Bandwidth.
3.  The Efficiency Paradox Teams invest tremendous effort, but the return on that effort is increasingly suboptimal and unsustainable. Click here to jump to The Efficiency Paradox.
4.  Trust Erosion Relationships between team members stay cordial, but lack the candor that high-performance depends on. Click here to jump to Trust Erosion.
5.  Growing Silos Teams work well within their own boundaries but fail to connect across the organization. Click here to jump to Growing Silos.

1. The Clarity Crisis

Alignment, the degree to which team members share a common understanding of purpose, strategy, goals, and roles, declined 4.68% year over year. When asked what their team needs most, the demand for clearer direction was the single strongest signal across all 7,599 open-ended responses. AIIR’s coaches confirmed the pattern, identifying “navigating continuous change” as the most prevalent challenge they observed in the field.

Why Now? This is a byproduct of an environment in which the ground is continually shifting beneath everyone’s feet. The acceleration of AI, ongoing restructuring, competitive disruption, and macroeconomic volatility have compressed strategic planning cycles and made it harder for leaders to offer durable direction. When the strategy itself is in motion, the consequences cascade through every level of the organization: goals become provisional, roles blur, and team members are left to interpret priorities on their own. At the same time, constant shifts in team composition driven by restructuring, mergers and acquisitions, and leadership turnover mean that alignment has to be rebuilt repeatedly, often without dedicated time to do so.

The research is clear on the consequences. Strategic clarity is a critical determinant of worker performance. Role ambiguity is linked to higher burnout and withdrawal; role clarity is linked to higher engagement and stronger initiative.

“Teams are grappling with layers of change in two broad areas — strategy and actual team composition. Strategy is shifting dramatically due to AI innovation and both the immense opportunity and competitive threat it simultaneously brings. At the same time, restructuring and leadership turnover mean teams are constantly reforming, rebuilding trust and shared understanding from scratch.”

AIIR Team Effectiveness Coach

What This Means for Performance. Clarity is the foundation on which Alignment is built. Without it, teams don’t stop working. They work on the wrong things, or they work on the right things in uncoordinated ways. The result is effort without momentum.

3. The Efficiency Paradox

One of the most striking findings was what we call the Efficiency Paradox: teams are investing tremendous effort, but the return on that effort is often suboptimal or unsustainable. Many team leaders will mistake this as a problem with individual performance. But digging further into the data reveals that it is actually a systems problem in disguise — the processes, workflows, and organizational structures teams work within are failing them.

Productivity is high, I think, but I also think the stress level is tremendous and the workplace frequently chaotic. We always seem to get the mission done and mostly timely, but I can’t imagine anyone would disagree there is a price paid.

VP a Professional Services Company

Why Now? Two forces are deepening the paradox. First, the rapid introduction of AI tools and evolving digital workflows has created a transitional period where many teams are caught between legacy systems and new ways of working. The old processes haven’t been retired, and the new ones haven’t been adopted. The result is friction at every handoff. Second, organizations have continued to add complexity — new meetings, new reporting structures, new cross-functional initiatives — without subtracting what is no longer needed. Recent research on global human capital trends identified reclaiming organizational capacity as a central theme, noting that meeting overload, outdated processes, and nonessential work are draining focus across industries.

What This Means for Performance. In the language of our model, the Efficiency Paradox is what creates a Driven Team — high on Team Productivity, low on Team Culture. Results come at the expense of connection, trust, and wellbeing. The highest-scoring item in our entire dataset — “The team leader creates a sense of urgency for producing results” — suggests that the dominant response to declining performance has been to push harder, not to work differently. That approach has a ceiling, and many teams are hitting it.

5. Growing Silos

Interestingly, our data shows a paradox of connection: within teams, members generally report positive professional relationships. Across team boundaries, however, there is significant disconnection. This pattern appeared consistently in the culture data and was reinforced by coaches, one of whom observed that most teams he has worked with “work in silos” and “struggle to be more effective cross-functionally.”

Why Now? Hybrid work has reduced the informal interactions that once connected people across teams. Constant restructuring has disrupted cross-functional relationships. And the increasing pace of work has created a natural pull inward — when time is scarce, teams protect their own resources. Research from Gartner found that organizations with high levels of “collaboration drag” are 37% less likely to achieve revenue goals, and employees experiencing it are 15 times more likely to feel burned out. Silos can emerge as a self-protective response to collaboration overload.

What This Means for Performance. In a world where 84% of U.S. employees now work on multiple teams simultaneously, effectiveness can’t be measured within a single team boundary. When silos deepen, organizations don’t experience the failure of any single team — they experience the failure of teams to connect. And that failure is invisible to any metric that only looks within team boundaries.

The State of Teams diagnostic tool

How are the Five Forces Driving Declining Team Effectiveness Showing Up in Your Organization?

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Reclaiming Team Effectiveness at the Organizational Level

The challenges in this paper are formidable. They are also addressable. Each recommendation below targets one or more of the five forces directly, and because the forces are interconnected, progress on one creates momentum across the others.

Some of these challenges — particularly the clarity crisis and growing silos — are fundamentally system-level problems. They require intervention from senior leaders who have the authority to shape strategy, structure, and organizational norms. Three priorities stand out.

1. Communicate Clarity as a Discipline, Not an Event

The clarity crisis is a system-level problem. Team members at every level are asking for direction about strategy, priorities, goals, and roles — and it was the strongest signal in our qualitative data. The instinct to wait until the picture is fully formed before communicating is understandable. In the current environment, it is counterproductive.

Leaders do not need to have all the answers to provide direction. What they need to do is communicate what is known, name what is uncertain, and create a cadence of communication that keeps pace with the speed of change. A clear vision stated once is a speech. It must be repeated, translated, and cascaded through every level of the organization so that teams can anchor their priorities to something durable.

2. Break Down Silos with Structure

No one decides to build silos. They emerge naturally when teams are heads down, time is scarce, and cross-boundary work feels like an additional burden. However, our data is clear: teams feel connected within their own boundaries and disconnected across them, and the result is fragmentation, duplication, and organizational drag.

Addressing this requires structural intervention: cross-functional forums, shared objectives, and integration mechanisms that make collaboration the path of least resistance. It also requires modeling inter-team trust at the senior level, since leadership team dynamics tend to cascade through the organization.

3. Drive AI Adoption with Intention

The AI imperative is real, but the way it is being communicated is contributing to the very challenges this paper describes. When the message from the top is urgency without direction, it amplifies the clarity crisis, consumes bandwidth, and adds to operational friction. Leaders can counter this by coupling AI urgency with strategic clarity: AI for what purpose, in service of what outcomes, and with what expectations for how teams integrate it into their work. The goal is not to slow adoption, but to ensure it is guided rather than chaotic.

Increasing Performance at the Team Level

Team leaders may not control the strategic direction of the organization, but they have enormous influence over the day-to-day experience of their team — and that experience is where the five forces identified in this paper are felt most acutely. Organizations should be equipping team leaders with the mandate, the tools, and the support to take three actions.

1. Provide the Clarity You Can

Team leaders can’t solve the macro clarity crisis alone. But even when the broader strategy is in flux, team leaders can create clarity at their level. This means taking the time to articulate what the team is working toward, what matters most right now, and what success looks like.

2. Protect Team Time and Subtract What Doesn’t Add Value

The bandwidth challenge will not be solved by asking people to work harder. It will be solved by removing the things that are consuming time without creating value. Team leaders should be empowered to audit workloads, eliminate unnecessary meetings, and challenge processes that have outlived their usefulness. This is subtractive innovation — not asking what to add, but what to take away so the team can focus on the work that matters.

3. Create Psychological Safety Through Daily Behaviors

Trust and Safety declined more steeply than any other dimension. Creating psychological safety does not require a transformation program. It requires consistent behaviors: asking for input and responding with curiosity rather than judgment, normalizing the admission of mistakes, inviting dissent before decisions are finalized, and making space for team members to connect as people, not just role-holders.

Teams don’t tend to take the time to focus on how they are working together. They are moving so fast and tend to focus on ‘what’ they need to accomplish. The data is clear that this approach has a ceiling.

AIIR Team Effectiveness Coach

This is also a moment where external support — a team effectiveness coach, a skilled facilitator, or a trained internal practitioner — can make a meaningful difference. The challenges teams are facing are structural, not motivational. They benefit from the objectivity, structure, and expertise that a professional can provide.

The Path Toward Team Performance

The decline in team effectiveness is real, it is measurable, and it is accelerating. But it is not inevitable. The five forces identified in this paper are the product of specific conditions that leaders at every level have the power to influence.

Leaders, teams, and organizations who take these findings seriously — that invest in clarity, protect bandwidth, confront the efficiency paradox, rebuild trust, and break down silos — will not simply arrest the decline. They will create the conditions for teams to do what they have always been capable of at their best: produce extraordinary results that no individual could achieve alone.

About The Authors

Jonathan Kirschner, Founder and CEO

Dr. Jonathan Kirschner, Psy.D. is the Founder and CEO of AIIR Consulting and its sister company, AIIR Analytics. Jonathan holds a doctorate in Clinical Psychology from Widener University and is a graduate of New York University.

Ryan Daly, Executive Editor

Ryan Daly is Executive Editor and Head of Marketing at AIIR Consulting. For more than a decade, he has written research and thought leadership that has shaped the assessment, coaching, talent management, and leadership development industries.

Chris Cotetta, Team Effectiveness Solutions Lead

Chris is a Senior Leadership Solutions Designer and Team Effectiveness Solutions Lead. Chris was instrumental in building both the AIIR® Team Effectiveness Survey and Coaching Mindset Index®. He graduated with honors from Temple University.

Shalini Chakraborty, Team Effectiveness Service Lead

Shalini Chakraborty is a Senior Client Success Manager and Service Lead for Team Effectiveness. She holds a BA in psychology from CUNY Hunter.